I'd lean more toward the redhat-release. You could use the rpm -q --whatprovides command to determine the name of the package that is providing /etc/redhat-release.
[tim@c5 ~]$ rpm -q --whatprovides /etc/redhat-release
centos-release-5-5.el5.centos
If you don't trust that, then you could look at the detailed information of the package. Pay attention to Version and Release.
[tim@c5 ~]$ rpm -qi --whatprovides /etc/redhat-release
Name : centos-release Relocations: (not relocatable)
Version : 5 Vendor: CentOS
Release : 5.el5.centos Build Date: Sun 25 Apr 2010 04:25:31 PM PDT
Install Date: Thu 20 May 2010 04:07:47 PM PDT Build Host: builder10.centos.org
Group : System Environment/Base Source RPM: centos-release-5-5.el5.centos.src.rpm
Size : 35485 License: GPL
Signature : DSA/SHA1, Mon 26 Apr 2010 04:40:57 PM PDT, Key ID a8a447dce8562897
Summary : CentOS release file
Description :
CentOS release files
If you still don't trust what you're seeing, you could try looking at
[tim@c5 etc]# rpm -qai | grep Release | awk -F' ' '{print $3}' | head -15
23.2.2
24.20060715
1.el5
35.el5
32.2.1.1
4
2.fc6
45.el5.centos
4.el5
1
2.el5
0.1
5.el5
1.el5
15.el5
Hopefully you'll find some sort of pattern that answers your question while searching through all the package information.
Good luck.
Update #1:
You could also try:
[tim@c6 ~]# rpm -q --whatrequires \
$(rpm -ql \
$(rpm -q --whatprovides /etc/redhat-release)
) | grep -v ' '
initscripts-9.03.27-1.el6.centos.x86_64
Update #2:
I wanted to make sure the command I provided in my first update worked right so I spun up a RHEL5 instance at AWS. It looks like it works.
[root@ip-10-172-23-67 ~]# rpm -q --whatrequires \
> $(rpm -ql \
> $(rpm -q --whatprovides /etc/redhat-release)
> ) | grep -v ' '
initscripts-8.45.30-3.el5_5.1